Load shedding on track for worst year ever

South Africa skilled 650 hours of load shedding within the first half of 2021 (15% of the time), shedding an estimated 963GWh of estimated power, based on a brand new report from the Council for Scientific and Industrial Analysis.

Shockingly, that is 76% of the whole load shedding skilled in the entire of final 12 months, suggesting that until Eskom is ready drastically to scale back the unplanned rolling blackouts within the second half of 2021, this 12 months can have a marked deterioration in power availability in comparison with any earlier 12 months.

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In an in depth report entitled “Statistics of utility-scale power generation in South Africa” and launched on Thursday, the CSIR confirmed that system demand elevated by 5% within the first half of 2021 in comparison with the identical interval a 12 months in the past, though this was nonetheless 2.2% decrease than the primary half of 2019.

“Coal continues to dominate the South African power combine, contributing 81.8% within the first half of 2021 as a further coal unit on the Kusile energy station entered into business operation. The contribution from renewable power sources totalled nearly 11% (photo voltaic PV, wind, hydro, concentrating solar energy and others), whereas zero-carbon power sources contributed 14.3% (renewables and nuclear),” the report stated.

Declining EAF

On the elevated load shedding up to now this 12 months, the CSIR stated this was “pushed by a declining ‘power availability issue’ (EAF) of the prevailing coal fleet, the place general the EAF was 61.3% for the primary half of 2021 relative to 65% in 2020 and 66.9% in 2019”.

Supply: CSIR

Supply: CSIR

“A regarding shift of the unplanned outage element of the EAF has additionally been highlighted the place unplanned outages of as much as 15.3GW have been skilled and have been larger than 10GW for greater than 80% of the primary half of 2021.”

This story was first revealed on TechCentral here.

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