The first days of January are upon us, which means that there will likely be a significant amount of market volatility ahead. Despite the mid-week holiday, there were some important news items investors should pay attention to over the coming days.
On Thursday, the weekly unemployment claims numbers were released, and during the last seven days, there were 211,000 requests for benefits compared to an expected 222,000. This week’s figure was also slightly lower than last week’s 220,000 requests for benefits.
On Friday, the ISM Manufacturing PMI report was released, and it came in at 49.2 percent, which was higher than the projected 48.4 percent. This is the second straight month in which the index has gone up, which is seen as an encouraging sign for the American manufacturing industry. However, it is still below 50 percent, which means that the industry is still in a period of mild contraction.
The GOP avoided what could have been a mild crisis by electing Mike Johnson as House speaker. Without a speaker, it would have been impossible to swear in other elected representatives, which means that it wouldn’t have been possible to confirm the election results. If the issue had lingered past Jan. 20, there would be no president, vice president or speaker eligible to serve in the White House. Instead, the job would have fallen to 91-year-old Chuck Grassley as he was next in line to hold the office.
The S&P 500 opened 2025 by losing 1.04 percent to finish at 5,942 at the end of trading Friday. On Thursday, the market made its low of the week at 5,832 before reversing and making a high of 5,948 on Friday afternoon.
Like the S&P 500, the Dow also started off the new year by dropping .87 percent to close the week at 42,732. On Thursday afternoon, the market made a weekly low of 42,199 after making its high of the week of 42,880 just hours prior.
Finally, the Nasdaq lost 1.43 percent over the last five trading days to finish the first week of the new year at 19,621. On Thursday, the market made its weekly low of 19,130 before reversing and closing at its weekly high.
Internationally, a slew of nations in Europe and Asia released their own manufacturing PMI numbers. Canada, China and Spain were the only nations to have a PMI over 50 percent. Spain also announced better than expected employment change numbers on Friday morning revealing that the nation only shed 25,300 jobs last month compared to an expected 46,500.
This week will be a busy one as the JOLTS Job Openings report, services PMI and nonfarm payroll figures are all released. In addition, the University of Michigan will release preliminary consumer confidence and inflation expectation figures. Internationally, Canada will announce its unemployment and job change figures on Friday while Germany, Australia and Switzerland release their annual inflation numbers.