Revealed: My Top Canadian Breakout Stock for August 2021

Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD.B) is a comfort retailer darling and Canadian breakout inventory that charged higher in July 2021. A strong Investor Day, strong quarterly earnings, and the fading of pandemic headwinds appear to have introduced again optimism into the inventory.

Because the agency will get extra lively on the acquisition entrance after staying comparatively quiet over these previous few years, I believe the Canadian breakout inventory may have a tonne of room to run, because the valuation appears to be like to appropriate itself to the upside.

A high Canadian breakout inventory for affordable

For a corporation that goals to double its web revenue in 5 years, 16.5 instances earnings, I consider, is ridiculously low.

Transferring ahead, respectable earnings and extra strikes may very well be the principle near- to medium-term drivers within the Canadian breakout inventory. And if there’s a broader market rotation into cheaper low-multiple worth shares, I’d search for additional gasoline to be added to Couche’s rally, because it appears to be like to make a run for the $60 mark.

An intriguing acquisition

Couche-Tard’s steadiness sheet is beginning to pile up with money. With an absence of dirt-cheap alternatives within the area and regulatory roadblocks in the best way of desired offers, just like the Carrefour deal that the French authorities blocked, it’s simple to know why long-time traders are getting impatient with the title and its near-term bout of underperformance relative to the TSX Index.

From a longer-term perspective, Couche-Tard continues to be crushing it. However on the planet of investing, it’s all about “what have you ever accomplished for me currently?” Within the case of Couche-Tard, not a heck of loads. However issues look to be turning a nook, and I believe the corporate is about to get extra lively on the M&A entrance.

Personally, I believe this “expensive” market surroundings is paving the best way for extra small-scale tuck-in c-store acquisitions, fairly than massive game-changing offers within the grocery area. Such a lower-risk technique, I consider, may propel shares a lot greater.

Extra lately, the corporate acquired Wilsons Gasoline Stops and Go! shops, a comparatively small deal that provides Couche-Tard a pleasant presence on the Atlantic coast. I’m an enormous fan of the deal and assume extra such small accretive offers may actually propel worth targets on the Canadian breakout inventory transferring ahead.

A hashish retail wildcard

It’s not simply c-store M&A that has me bullish on Couche-Tard shares. The corporate’s foray into hashish retail with its dance associate Fireplace & Flower seems to be displaying indicators of promise. I believe the budding partnership pays huge dividends down the street. As soon as Canada relaxes its hashish retail laws, count on Couche-Tard to develop its stake in Fireplace & Flower additional and doubtlessly embody a small part inside its comfort shops dedicated to Flower-branded hashish choices.

I believe many traders are underestimating Couche-Tard’s prudent transfer into Canadian hashish retail. Within the close to time period, it received’t make a variety of distinction, however over the long term, Fireplace & Flower’s success may bode very well for Couche-Tard.

Don’t overlook natural development!

Lastly, administration has continued to discover methods to drive same-store gross sales development by means of enhanced merchandise choices (assume recent meals), loyalty applications, and high-margin, private-label branding.

Transferring ahead, I count on extra modern tech to be outfitted throughout choose Couche-Tard places. What sort of tech? Maybe one ought to look to Amazon Go! Recent shops for a preview of what’s to come back for the way forward for c-stores. Undoubtedly, it’s formidable. However I believe Couche-Tard may evolve to grow to be one of many leaders in comfort retail, because the panorama modifications quickly over the subsequent decade.

This text represents the opinion of the author, who could disagree with the “official” suggestion place of a Motley Idiot premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even certainly one of our personal — helps us all assume critically about investing and make choices that assist us grow to be smarter, happier, and richer, so we generally publish articles that will not be in step with suggestions, rankings or different content material.

John Mackey, CEO of Complete Meals Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Idiot’s board of administrators. Idiot contributor Joey Frenette owns shares of ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD INC and Amazon. The Motley Idiot owns shares of and recommends ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD INC and Amazon. The Motley Idiot recommends the next choices: lengthy January 2022 $1,920 calls on Amazon and quick January 2022 $1,940 calls on Amazon.

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