In some parts of the U.S., a familiar scenario seems to be playing out once again.
In the mid-2000s, easy access to subprime mortgages helped home values in many communities across the U.S. shoot up to dizzying heights, only to crash down in an epic collapse that took the entire economy with it.
Now, many communities once again have seen home values explode higher. Last year, home price growth jumped 15% nationwide, triple the average rate that occurred in the previous decade, according to real estate analytics firm CoreLogic.
In some markets, homes are now overvalued, raising the risk of future price corrections. CoreLogic says the following markets are the most overvalued in the U.S. Are they heading for a fall?
Destin, Florida
Last summer, lifelong Destin-area resident and real estate professional Mary Anne Windes marveled to The Destin Log about the state of the local housing market:
“Prices have been rising like crazy for houses and condos in 2021. Prices were on the rise previously, but the shift this year has been significantly eye-opening.”
Florida remained open during the COVID-19 pandemic while other states shut down. That fact may have helped attract buyers from locked-down places such as New York, California and Oregon and encouraged them to grab their flip-flops and head south, driving inventory lower and prices higher.
Homosassa Springs, Florida
Located in Citrus County, Homosassa Springs is another Florida town that attracted many types of buyers during the pandemic. By the end of 2021, the number of homes for sale had plummeted 25% as buyers snatched up whatever was available.
Hint: This will not be the last Florida market you will see on this list.
Prescott, Arizona
How expensive have things gotten in Prescott? According to an analysis by the University of Arizona’s Eller College of Management, Prescott was the least affordable metro in Arizona.
Just 37.3% of families earning a median income can afford a home in the market.
Lake Havasu City, Arizona
Home to the famously relocated London Bridge, Lake Havasu City is another Arizona market on a tear.
According to one report, sellers in the Lake Havasu City-Kingman metro area raked in a 72.1% profit for a typical home sale during the third quarter of 2021.
Punta Gorda, Florida
The white-hot housing market in Charlotte County has flummoxed those shopping for homes in Punta Gorda. As local real estate agent Pamela Civitillo told PBS station WGCU:
“The bidding wars are unbelievable. It’s very frustrating to buyers because they think they’re going in with the best possible scenario, especially when they’re paying cash, and then they end up not getting it.”
Naples, Florida
Naples has never been cheap, at least by Florida standards. Now, if you want a home in this city, you better bring some cash.
More than half of home sales in Naples are all-cash deals now, according to Redfin. One Florida real estate agent told Redfin that savvy buyers know that when competition is fierce, cash is king.
Austin, Texas
As we previously reported, the Austin housing market has gone bonkers.
Like many markets in the U.S., a lack of available housing stock is pushing prices much higher in the Texas capital. And inflation isn’t helping matters. As Ashley Jackson, president-elect of the Austin Board of Realtors, told local TV station KXAN:
“We do still expect pressure from inflation, which will affect especially new construction and the cost of supplies for building a home and potentially also the building timeline, how long it takes a house built in our area.”
Flagstaff, Arizona
In Flagstaff, soaring housing prices are outpacing rising wages by a wide margin. So, the City Council recently voted unanimously to adopt a 10-year housing plan intended to address the problem.
The plan includes perks for homebuyers, such as down-payment assistance.
Cape Coral, Florida
Cape Coral has grown at an exponential rate. By one estimate, the population has increased by nearly 700% in the past five decades.
High housing costs have been a problem in Cape Coral for more than a decade, and Collier County — where the city is located — is promising to explore options for providing more affordable housing.
North Port, Florida
One final Florida city — North Port — rounds out the list of most overvalued markets. In total, six out of the 10 cities on this list are in the Sunshine State.
For more tips on landing your dream home — despite high prices — read “12 Tips for Buying Your First House.”
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