On Friday, Citi reiterated its Neutral rating on ABB LTD (ST:N:SW) (NYSE: ABB) stock with a steady price target of CHF49.00. The assessment followed the company’s latest earnings release, which was the first under the leadership of new CEO Morten Wierod. The results highlighted record margins in the Electrification and Motion divisions, but also revealed a prolonged downturn in discrete automation.
The “first impressions” speech by CEO Wierod during the earnings call suggested no major shifts in the company’s strategy. However, Wierod did note some positive signs, including the potential for further productivity improvements. He also outlined mid-term targets, indicating the possibility of an EBITA margin over 19% and a gross margin approaching 40%, up from the current level of approximately 37%.
These improvements, if realized, could lead to higher earnings in the future. Nonetheless, Citi pointed out that short-term cyclical challenges, particularly from European machine builder customers, might dampen expectations for now. The ongoing discussion regarding whether the Electrification division has reached its peak margins is expected to continue.
Despite the potential for future earnings growth, Citi chose to maintain its Neutral rating on ABB’s stock. This decision was influenced by the company’s valuation, which is near its all-time high, suggesting limited upside for investors at the current price level.
In other recent news, ABB Ltd (SIX:)’s third-quarter earnings report showed a mixed performance, with orders matching expectations while sales fell short by 3%. The Operational EBITA, however, exceeded forecasts by 1%, with a margin of 19.0%. Analysts from JPMorgan maintained a Neutral stance on ABB shares, while Jefferies held its rating at Hold. Barclays initiated coverage on ABB with an Underweight rating due to concerns over a weaker growth outlook and margins.
ABB has adjusted its 2024 guidance, reducing its comparable revenue growth expectation from about 5% to below 5%, while slightly raising its operational EBITA margin forecast from about 18% to just over 18%. CFRA maintained a Buy rating on ABB and increased the price target to CHF56.00, suggesting that challenges in the Homes segment are manageable.
On the strategic front, ABB is reportedly exploring the sale of part of its Emobility electric vehicle charging division, likely retaining its global DC fast charging business while considering the sale of its China DC and global AC operations. These are among the recent developments that have influenced ABB’s financial outlook and strategic initiatives.
InvestingPro Insights
Recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context to ABB’s financial performance and market position. The company’s revenue for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 stood at $23.77 million, with a gross profit margin of 32.41%. This aligns with CEO Morten Wierod’s mid-term target of approaching a 40% gross margin, indicating room for improvement but also progress towards this goal.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that ABB’s stock price has outperformed the S&P 500 in the past year, with a one-year price total return of 14.53%. This performance, coupled with Citi’s observation of the stock’s valuation being near its all-time high, underscores the market’s positive sentiment towards ABB despite the challenges noted in the earnings report.
Another relevant InvestingPro Tip points out that ABB has a high return on invested capital, suggesting efficient use of its resources. This efficiency could support the company’s efforts to improve productivity and margins, as mentioned by CEO Wierod.
For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 15 additional tips for ABB, providing a deeper understanding of the company’s financial health and market position.
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